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Seven years ago, credit scoring and computer modeling had little to do with
mortgage lending. When reviewing the credit worthiness of a borrower, an loan
underwriter would make a subjective decision based on past payment history,
income, and a review of assets and liabilities.
Then things changed. Several lending agencies, along with a company located
in Northern California, Fair Isaac Corporation ("FICO"), took a closer look
and studied the relationship between credit scores and mortgage delinquencies.
Using sophisticated computer models and metrics, Fair Isaac (www.fairisaac.com)
discovered a predictable and definite relationship between a credit worthiness
and credit score. Almost half of those borrowers with FICO scores below 550
became ninety days delinquent (i.e., "past due" greater than 90 days) at least
once during their mortgage. On the other hand, only two out of every 10,000
borrowers with FICO scores above eight hundred became delinquent.
So lenders began to take a closer look at FICO scores and this is what they
found out. The chart below shows the likelihood of a ninety-day delinquency
for specific FICO scores. The results may surprise you.
FICO Score |
|
Odds of a Delinquent Account |
595 600 615 630 645 660 680 700 780 |
|
|
2.25 to 1 4.5 to 1 9 to 1 18 to 1 36 to 1 72 to 1
144 to 1 288 to 1 576 to 1 |
When looking at the scores and the corresponding odds researched by FairIsaac
Corporation, one can see a powerful relationship between credit worthiness and
credit score. If you were lending a couple hundred thousand dollars to a friend,
who would you want to lend it to - your friend with a high FICO score or your
friend with a low FICO score? The answer is pretty obvious.
FICO Scores, What Affects Them, How Lenders Look At Them
Just suppose a mortgage loan officer has just ordered a credit report. She hears
the sound of the laser printer and she knows the pages of the credit report are
going to start spitting out in just a second. There is a moment of tension in
the air, much like watching a basketball shot after it leaves the shooter's hands.
It's not like a Michael Jordan last-second buzzer beating shot, where you know it's
going to go in the basket. It's more like a Shaquille O'Neal free throw - you never
know what is going to happen. The loan officer watches the pages stack up in the
collection tray, but she waits to pick them up until all of the pages are finished
printing. She waits like a spectator at the Staples Center watching the free throw
either go in the basket or until the ball "clangs" off the rim. She takes a deep
breath and looks at the credit report. If the FICO score (on page one of the report)
exceeds a score of 700, it's like a perfect "swish" basket. This score will evoke
a smile, then a grin, and then a shout and a "victory" style arm pump in the air.
Conversely, a score below 600 will result in a frown, a furrowed brow, and perhaps
an expletive. A score this low would be deemed an "air ball" - a horrible free
throw shot. Lenders can make loans to applicants who swish it or those who shoot
an air ball. The difference will be in the cost and the interest rate. The higher
the score, the lower the rate. This inverse relationship holds true with almost
all loans offered by a mortgage company.
FICO stands for Fair Isaac & Company, and credit scores are reported by each of the
three major credit bureaus: Experian (formerly TRW), Equifax , and TransUnion. The
score does not come up exactly the same on each bureau because each bureau places a
slightly different emphasis on different items. Scores range from 360 to 850 and are
called different names by each of the bureaus -- Experian calls it a FICO score,
Equifax calls it a Beacon score, TransUnion calls it an Empirica score. For the sake
of this article, we will call a credit score a "FICO" score, much like we refer to a
bathroom tissue as a "Kleenex."
Here are some of the things that may negatively impact your FICO credit scores:
- Delinquencies - The number, the severity, the recent pattern of late payments;
- Recent Accounts -- Too many accounts opened within the last twelve months;
- Credit History -- Limited credit history or no credit history;
- Credit Limits -- Balances on revolving credit are between 51% and 100% of
the maximum credit limits;
- Public Records -- Public records, such as tax liens, judgments, or bankruptcies;
- Inquiries -- Too many recent credit inquiries;
- Credit Cards -- Too many new revolving accounts, some of which are damaging to your score;
- Closed Accounts - In some cases, this may actually lower your score.
Sounds confusing, doesn't it?
The FICO credit score is actually calculated using a "scorecard" whereby you receive
points for certain things. Creditors and lenders who view your credit report do not
get to see the scorecard, so they do not know exactly how your score was calculated.
They just see the final scores and they see some of the "most likely" factors that
influenced the score.
Basic guidelines on how to view the FICO scores vary slightly from lender to lender.
Usually, a score above 680 will require a very basic review of the entire loan
package. Scores between 640 and 680 require more thorough underwriting. Once a
score gets below 640, an underwriter will look at a loan application with a more
cautious approach. Many lenders will not even consider a loan with a FICO score
below 600.
FICO Scores and Interest Rates
Credit scores can affect more than whether your loan gets approved or not. They can
also affect how much you pay for your loan, too. Some lenders establish a "base price"
and will reduce the points on a loan if the credit score is above a certain level.
For example, one major national lender reduces the cost of a loan by a quarter point
if the FICO score is greater than 725. If it is between 700 and 724, they will reduce
the cost by one-eighth of a point. A point is equal to one percent of the loan amount.
As you can see, the higher the score, the lower the rate. This can result in a
sizable savings for a loan applicant.
There are other lenders who do it in reverse. They establish their base price, but
instead of reducing the cost for good FICO scores, they "add on" costs for lower
FICO scores. The results from either method would work out to be approximately the
same interest rate. The second way "looks" better when you are quoting interest
rates on a rate sheet or in an advertisement. It is important to obtain a clear
"apples to apples" comparison when looking at two mortgage options. Make sure you
get the right quote based on all of the facts.
Final Thoughts to Improve your Score
Nowadays, credit scores are important if you want to get the best interest rate
available. Protect your FICO score. Work on improving your score. Do not open
new revolving accounts needlessly. Don't close out all of your accounts because
somebody told you to close them. Do not fill out credit applications needlessly,
especially the "apply for this department store credit card and save 20% tonight"
offers. Watch out for the "No payments until the year 2044" offers because the
type of lender associated with this offer may lower your score. Do not keep your
credit card balanced near the limit, or even greater than 50% of the limit. Make
sure you do use your credit occasionally. Always make sure every creditor has
their payment in their office no later than 10 days past due. Pay your bills on
time each month. Try your hardest to payoff balances to zero each month. Stay
away from the malls. Budget wisely and adopt a conservative and disciplined payment
pattern with all purchases. And finally, to borrow our final basketball analogy,
paying cash for items is like shooting a "slam dunk" - it's a sure way to keep
your credit score high and it almost guarantees that you'll make the basket!
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